“Optimizing trading strategies without overfitting” by Dr. Ernest Chan – QuantCon 2018

“Optimizing trading strategies without overfitting” by Dr. Ernest Chan – QuantCon 2018

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“Optimizing trading strategies without overfitting” by Dr. Ernest Chan – QuantCon 2018
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Optimizing the parameters of a trading strategy through backtesting has one major problem: there are usually not enough historical trades to achieve statistical significance. This talk will discuss several methods to overcome this problem, including stochastic control theory and simulations. Simulations can involve either linear or nonlinear time series models such as recurrent neural networks.

About the speaker:
Dr. Ernest Chan is a managing member of QTS Capital Management, LLC., a commodity pool operator and trading advisor. He began his career as a machine learning researcher with IBM's Human Language Technologies Group and later joined Morgan Stanley's Data Mining Group. He has also been a quantitative researcher and proprietary trader for Credit Suisse. Ernie is the author of "Machine Trading," "Algorithmic Trading," and "Quantitative Trading," all published by Wiley, and a popular financial blogger at epchan.blogspot.com. He also teaches in the Master of Science in Predictive Analytics program at Northwestern University. He received his Ph.D. in theoretical physics from Cornell University.

The slides for this presentation can be found at http://bit.ly/2HWCFxC.

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