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https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Over the past 24 hours, our Sun has gone from mild to wild. Not only do we have X-flare players on all sides of the Sun, but we also have at least four Earth-facing solar storms and a few squalls on the way. All of the frontal activity is primarily in regions 3762, 3764, and 3766, with the off-facing activity primarily in the old region 3738. The first series of solar storms is expected sometime on July 29, with the largest of these storms arriving around noon on July 30. At the time of this post, model predictions are still being processed as this is a rapidly evolving scene, so all predictions will be updated as new information comes in. Right now, it looks like the probability of auroras will increase dramatically starting at noon on July 29, with a peak late on July 30/31. We could easily see G2 to G3 level conditions by July 30. Additionally, active region clusters 3763, 3764, and 3766, as well as region 3762, are becoming increasingly complex and could continue to trigger large solar flares over the next few days. That means more possible R2 to R3 radio blackouts and possibly more solar storms circling through the Earth's impact zone over the next few days. Learn more about the details of these upcoming solar storms, find out when auroras are likely to be visible, and see what fireworks are lurking on the far side of the Sun.
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For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a closer look at the data and images highlighted in this video, please see the links below.
Solar imaging and analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer-aided CME tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES X-ray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG synoptic film on the magnetic field: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
Synoptic diagrams of the magnetic field of GONG: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil solar storm forecast model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp2038-01-2300%3A44%3A00&window-1&cygnetId261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, ionosphere, atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionospheric D-Region Absorption Model (DRAP): http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Radiation environment in the near-Earth environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hour Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON weather display: www.geochron.com
USGS ground magnetometer: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multipurpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Space Weather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of the stages “geomagnetic storm”, “radiation storm” and “radio blackout”:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who made all this data available for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (especially the outstanding teams at SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL and DSN, great professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info and many more. Thank you for making space weather a part of our daily dialogue.
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